Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 21.560934 24.450589 27.604522 31.305787 35.534756 40.220997 45.814707
2025-01-26 17.513322 21.499326 26.224507 32.253963 39.765200 48.842597 60.688076
2025-02-02 15.048850 19.709750 25.622090 33.707376 44.532446 58.603458 78.407865
2025-02-09 12.937139 17.883055 24.522236 34.146631 47.844002 66.790602 95.249655
2025-02-16 11.015891 15.941507 22.880121 33.454313 49.317396 72.475284 109.293707
2025-02-23 9.565658 14.412633 21.537254 32.887362 50.733073 78.074833 123.830044
2025-03-02 8.441204 13.187786 20.437342 32.459453 52.185915 83.772158 139.175954
2025-03-09 7.610173 12.292126 19.699806 32.448832 54.213961 90.528303 157.097511
2025-03-16 6.892122 11.478796 18.975722 32.329607 55.982856 96.991762 175.340265
2025-03-23 6.514532 11.176309 19.040000 33.523439 60.116680 107.989790 203.251964
2025-03-30 6.012250 10.597271 18.557527 33.675421 62.367591 115.844882 226.353924
2025-04-06 5.416490 9.784567 17.569586 32.774507 62.519861 119.758137 242.232727
2025-04-13 4.937244 9.146437 16.853114 32.345875 63.619330 125.824090 263.844769
2025-04-20 4.708439 8.951495 16.938700 33.481579 67.977482 138.995827 302.659170
2025-04-27 4.548643 8.869979 17.229030 35.058115 73.448478 155.228550 350.938214
2025-05-04 4.280930 8.545289 17.003837 35.542106 76.666121 167.097726 391.280121
2025-05-11 3.920047 7.993012 16.258824 34.830101 77.166918 173.024125 418.515375
2025-05-18 3.609418 7.511956 15.608678 34.242515 77.861817 179.469684 448.090678
2025-05-25 3.343009 7.096830 15.053445 33.797548 78.821789 186.655359 480.758271
2025-06-01 3.138001 6.793389 14.707112 33.787089 80.809148 196.588970 522.364677
2025-06-08 2.942630 6.491355 14.332093 33.662917 82.498852 206.013651 564.248598
2025-06-15 2.862488 6.440827 14.518453 34.908931 87.793050 225.413418 637.671007
2025-06-22 2.712755 6.214734 14.275851 35.067593 90.303734 237.851374 693.191633